Thursday, April 24, 2025

Dear Daily Disaster Diary, April 25 2025

 

Reform must come from within, not from without. You cannot legislate for virtue.

- James Cardinal Gibbons




The Green Party Is More Vital Than Ever—So Why Is It Dying?


Let’s skip the polite political warm-up and go straight for the jugular: 

Canada is on fire—literally and metaphorically—and the Green Party, the one group that should be leading the charge on climate, is nowhere near the frontlines. 

Not in the polls. 

Not in the public imagination. 

Not even on the damn debate stage.

And yet, we need them now more than ever.

We Are Drowning—In Fire


From B.C.’s forests reduced to ash to freak floods wiping out roads in Nova Scotia, the climate crisis has stopped being "a future concern." 

It’s here, now, reshaping the landscape, our economy, and our public health. As carbon emissions surge globally in a fossil fuel resurgence masquerading as economic necessity, Canada is stuck in a political Groundhog Day. 

The Liberals chant “net zero,” the Conservatives wave pipelines like flags, and the NDP balances precariously between populism and pragmatism.

Meanwhile, the Greens—the only party that has consistently screamed into the abyss about this crisis—have become a whisper.

Why?

Leadership Vacuum, Identity Crisis


The Green Party’s collapse isn’t just about being disinvited from the 2025 leaders’ debate. It’s about a complete failure to adapt, inspire, and regenerate.

Elizabeth May was, and still is, a titan. But her reappearance at the helm—alongside Jonathan Pedneault, a name the average Canadian couldn’t pick out of a vegan lineup—is a clear sign the party is stuck in the past. It’s not a reboot. It’s a rerun.

The Greens need a climate movement—not a nostalgia tour. Where is the dynamic, fiery voice of a next-gen Green? 

Where is the unapologetic youth movement, the coalition of scientists, Indigenous leaders, climate migrants, and policy nerds that this party should be built around?

Instead, the party has become a sanctuary for well-meaning but politically homeless idealists, operating with the energy of a burned-out co-op board.

The “Mainstreaming” of Environmentalism Is a Lie


Yes, all major parties talk about the environment now. 

But that’s exactly the trap. Lip service has replaced leadership. A carbon tax here, a tree-planting program there—and we’re supposed to believe Canada is a climate champion?

The truth is brutal: Canada is among the top 10 global emitters per capita, a G7 country still subsidizing oil and gas to the tune of billions per year. 

The Liberals approve megaprojects like Bay du Nord while bragging about EV rebates. 

The Conservatives barely bother with the pretense. 

And the NDP is too cautious to call them all out.

Only the Greens have ever put the planet before power. But now, when we need that moral clarity most, they’re missing in action.

A Global Green Collapse?


It’s not just Canada. 

Green parties across the West are struggling, splintered by internal chaos, generational divides, and the co-option of their platform by more electorally viable centrists. 

In Germany, the Greens are in government—but compromise has neutered their influence. 

In the U.S., the word “Green Party” is still synonymous with “spoiler” in mainstream discourse. 

And in Canada? 

They’re barely a footnote in a high-stakes election framed entirely around who can “stand up to Trump 2.0.”

But guess what? 

Climate change is the Trump 2.0 problem. The atmosphere doesn’t care about borders or trade disputes. 

If the U.S. turns into a petro-fascist state, Canada will feel every gust of deregulated pollution and anti-science policy drifting north.

And still, no one is giving the Greens a mic.

What Needs to Happen—Now


It’s time for the Green Party to wake up or die trying. If they are serious about being more than a symbolic conscience, here’s what they need to do:

  • Find a star. Not another policy wonk or consensus-builder. A fighter. A climate punk. Someone who can drag the party kicking and screaming into TikTok, the streets, and Parliament.

  • Center frontline voices. Indigenous land defenders, youth strikers, climate scientists, disaster survivors—they are the face of the future. Not ex-leaders recycling talking points.

  • Get angry. Stop being polite. Call out the hypocrisy. Name the subsidies. Challenge the myths. Make people uncomfortable.

  • Run to lose—strategically. Focus on building infrastructure, riding by riding, block by block. Losing with 10,000 radicalized new climate voters is better than winning one seat in silence.

Final Thought: We Are Out of Time


This isn’t a pep talk. It’s a death notice—unless something changes. We are already living in the consequences of climate cowardice. We don’t need another centrist compromise. 

We need political arsonists willing to burn down the old narratives and build something livable from the ashes.

The Green Party should be that matchstick.

But right now? 

They're barely a flicker.


Sincerely,

Adaptation-Guide


ADAPT OR DIE!

LESS IS MORE!

WE ARE READY! ARE YOU?

Wednesday, April 23, 2025

Dear Daily Disaster Diary, April 24 2025

 

Always vote for principle, though you may vote alone, and you may cherish the sweetest reflection that your vote is never lost.

- John Quincy Adams



Mark Carney's Green Gamble: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly


Canada’s next climate crossroads isn’t about oil or wind—it’s about whether we’re buying into a green dream, a strategic con, or both. And Mark Carney is holding the playbook.


The Good: Vision, Markets, and a Global Seat at the Table


Let’s not kid ourselves—Mark Carney isn’t some garden-variety politician preaching environmental morality from the sidelines. He’s played in the big leagues: former Bank of Canada and Bank of England governor, UN climate envoy, and founder of GFANZ (the Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero). 

This man knows how to move capital, and he’s trying to move it green.

He’s also not lying when he says Canada can be a global beacon for clean energy, even in oil and gas. 

The Pathways Alliance’s $16.5-billion carbon capture project may be controversial, but it’s real infrastructure, backed by real dollars, with real emissions-reduction potential.

Carney has also championed climate-related financial disclosures, co-developing the International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) rules now being adopted by economies representing over half the global GDP

He understands that markets need predictability and accountability to drive change.

And here’s the key: Carney doesn’t just see green policy as a moral imperative—he frames it as market strategy

His plan to issue project decisions within two years instead of five is pragmatic and business-friendly. That’s smart policy, not pipe dreams.

“Clean energy is going to be increasingly important to competitiveness.”
Mark Carney, April 9, 2025


The Bad: Waffling, Half-Measures, and an Identity Crisis


But here’s where the wheels start to come off Carney’s climate bus.

Despite praising carbon pricing in his book as the “cornerstone” of good climate policy, he’s now ditched the consumer carbon tax, citing divisiveness. 

That may be politically convenient, but it reeks of pandering. Carney had the chance to lead with courage—and he blinked.

Worse still, his platform is missing critical planks: no mandatory climate disclosures, no green investment taxonomy, no 1.5°C-aligned transition plans, even though he’s spent years chastising Canada for dragging its heels. 

Where’s the follow-through?

And let’s not forget: Canada is not on track to meet its 2030 climate targets. Oil and gas emissions are rising, not falling. 

Saying we’ll “dominate the market” by increasing oil and gas production—even with carbon capture—is a dangerous tightrope walk that borders on delusion.

The question becomes: Is Carney enabling Big Oil’s survival with a green gloss, or is he genuinely leading a pragmatic transition? 

It’s not clear. And that’s a problem.


The Ugly: Green Finance Is Splintering—and So Is the Truth


Let’s talk about GFANZ. The alliance Carney helped birth in a flurry of climate optimism at COP26 is now falling apart. 

Major U.S. and Canadian banks have bailed out, fearful of antitrust backlash under Trump 2.0. 

The Net Zero Banking Alliance (NZBA) has been defanged. Institutions no longer need firm targets—just vague talk of "mobilizing capital."

This isn’t green leadership. It’s green-washed collapse.

Then there’s the corporate capture. CEOs of major Canadian energy firms—like Adam Waterous—are calling for the repeal of core environmental policies

carbon levies, emissions caps, and Bill C-69 (the “No More Pipelines Bill”). And what happens when Carney refuses? 

They threaten to walk, saying only state-owned enterprises will be left to build anything.

Welcome to Petro-Canada 2.0, where your taxes fund the pipelines industry won’t.

 

“It would be reasonable to assume that under a Mark Carney government that we are going to have a Trans Mountain 2.0.”
Adam Waterous, CEO, Strathcona Resources Ltd.


If that’s the future, then Canada’s green transition is being built on a political ransom note signed by oil execs.


So, What’s the Verdict?


Mark Carney is not a climate villain

He’s intelligent, strategic, and understands the levers of finance like few others in the world. 

His technocratic solutions could work—on paper

But in the gritty, polarized, high-stakes world of Canadian energy politics, his message is blurred, his platform is patchy, and his backbone is bending.

He’s trying to be the Goldilocks candidate of climate: not too hot, not too cold, not too aggressive, not too soft.

But in a world on fire, maybe lukewarm leadership just won’t cut it.


Final Thoughts: The Real Risk? Delay Disguised as Progress


What we are watching in real time is the professionalization of delay

A perfect cocktail of corporate appeasement, polished PR, and plausible deniability. Carney says the right things—sometimes. 

But he also gives fossil fuel producers enough wiggle room to keep pumping while looking clean.

If Canada wants to lead in clean energy, it needs bold, uncomfortable, uncompromising action

Not technocratic triangulation.

Because at this rate, we’re not heading to net zero.
We’re heading to net nothing.


Sincerely,

Adaptation-Guide


ADAPT OR DIE!

LESS IS MORE!

WE ARE READY! ARE YOU?


CREDITS: GLOBE & MAIL

Tuesday, April 22, 2025

Dear Daily Disaster Diary, April 23 2025


 Whatever the human law may be, neither an individual nor a nation can commit the least act of injustice against the obscurest individual without having to pay the penalty for it.

- Henry David Thoreau





How will Pope Francis be remembered by Indigenous people in Canada? | Power &litics



Six Nations Doesn’t Need Sympathy. It Needs a Water Revolution.


Follow-up to “Water Is Life. So Why Are 70% of Canada’s Largest First Nation Still Without It?”


Let’s skip the hollow apologies. Here’s how we fix this.

No more “reconciliation round-tables.” No more press conferences full of staged land acknowledgments and zero commitments. 

Six Nations of the Grand River doesn’t need another promise. 

It needs clean, accessible water—yesterday.

Here’s a bold, unfiltered road-map to actually fix this crisis—no bureaucracy, no colonial B.S. Just solutions.


🔧 1. Immediate Federal Emergency Infrastructure Intervention


Solution: Trigger an emergency infrastructure clause—like what we’d use for a flood or wildfire—to bypass the deadlocked funding pipelines and deploy federal emergency funds to Six Nations for full water distribution build-out within 12 months.

  • Funded via existing $8B allocated in 2021 for long-term water issues.

  • If Ottawa can pay $55M for a single F-35 fighter jet, it can pay for pipes.

  • Appoint a non-political Indigenous-led task force to administer all funds—not Indigenous Services Canada (ISC), which has failed for decades.


Controversial? Yes.
Necessary? Even more so.


💸 2. Compulsory Compensation with No Arbitrary Thresholds


Solution: Scrap the absurd “one-year advisory” eligibility requirement and offer retroactive compensation for any First Nation dealing with unsafe water, regardless of whether they meet colonial definitions.

  • Use Six Nations' lawsuit as the precedent.

  • Create a community impact index: includes trucked water reliance, bacterial contamination data, infrastructure gaps.

  • $25M is nothing compared to the generational trauma, illness, and economic exploitation that’s occurred.


Let’s be blunt: Ottawa’s metrics are designed to exclude. This solution flips that.


⚙️ 3. Force Industry to Pay for the Mess They Helped Create


Solution: Introduce a “Clean Water Royalty”—a 3-5% tax on natural resource extraction within 100 km of any First Nation without universal water access.

  • Ontario alone made over $1.1B in mining royalties in 2023.

  • This isn’t charity—it’s justice. Water is diverted, poisoned, and monetized for corporate gain.

  • First Nations communities near resource operations (including Six Nations) get nothing but environmental degradation.


Use these royalties to fund water infrastructure, maintenance, and training.


🛑 4. Ban Private Water Delivery Services as Primary Water Sources


Solution: Outlaw reliance on for-profit cistern trucking services for primary household water supply on reserves.

  • Turn these systems into public, Indigenous-owned co-ops, regulated with real oversight.

  • Profiteering from the denial of basic rights is morally bankrupt.

  • $250 a month for water is not “service delivery”—it’s extortion.


We don’t let private trucks deliver water to downtown Toronto. Why is it acceptable in Six Nations?


🔬 5. Create a National Indigenous Water Authority (NIWA)


Solution: Establish an independent, Indigenous-run water agency with federal authority and budget oversight.

  • Modeled after New Zealand’s Māori-led health authority.

  • Responsible for planning, infrastructure, quality assurance, emergency response, and training.

  • Not a committee. Not a think tank. A governing body with teeth.


Water is sacred. It must be managed by those who understand that.


📜 6. Enshrine the Right to Water in Canadian Law—NOW


Solution: Pass a binding Clean Water for Indigenous Peoples Act, modeled on the 2023 bill that Trudeau’s government let die. This time, no delay. No excuse.

Key provisions:

  • Water access as a constitutional right for all Indigenous Peoples.

  • Enforceable legal standards for quality and access.

  • Automatic court injunctions if access is blocked or substandard.


We recognize education, health, and mobility as basic rights. Water is more fundamental than all of them.


🎤 7. Make Residential School Denialism a Hate Crime—Link it to Water Justice


Solution: Support MP Leah Gazan’s bill and make denial of genocidal policies, like residential schools, a criminal offense.

Why? Because denialism fuels public apathy.

If Canadians understood that water injustice is a continuation of the same genocidal logic, there’d be outrage. 

Criminalizing denialism connects historical erasure to modern-day neglect.


So, Who’s Got the Guts to Do This?

  • Liberals? Carney says he believes in reconciliation. Prove it.

  • Conservatives? Poilievre wants freedom? Start with freeing Indigenous people from a colonial water regime.

  • NDP? Singh, Gazan, and others are leading the way. But where’s the national spotlight?


This is a test. Not just for parties, but for Canada itself.


💥 Final Word: You Don’t Get to Call It a Democracy If You Deny People Water


This isn’t about being woke. It’s about being human.

The truth is this: Canada has spent decades underfunding First Nations while making billions off their lands, their rivers, and their resources. 

What’s happening at Six Nations is not a mystery. It’s the design.

But it doesn’t have to stay that way.

The solutions are here. The money is here. The leadership is here.

What’s missing?

Political courage. 

Moral clarity. 

And a nation willing to see Indigenous people as equals, not projects.


Sincerely,

Adaptation-Guide


ADAPT OR DIE!

LESS IS MORE!

WE ARE READY! ARE YOU?

Monday, April 21, 2025

Dear Daily Disaster Diary, April 22 2025

 

Men seldom, or rather never for a length of time and deliberately, rebel against anything that does not deserve rebelling against.

- Thomas Carlyle





Sunday, April 20, 2025

Dear Daily Disaster Diary, April 21 2025

 

We live in a wonderful world that is full of beauty, charm and adventure. There is no end to the adventures that we can have if only we seek them with our eyes open.

- Jawaharial Nehru




Adapt or Die: Why Europe’s Spring Fever Won’t Save Us from Climate Collapse

The Climate Demands Climate Policy – Not Escape Fantasies


🌿 Springtime Delusions


Spring is a fabulous season. It reveals an old truth: warmth is life. But to celebrate it with childlike innocence—when the air outside feels more like midsummer than April—is a privilege reserved only for those who are experts at denial.

To sing praises of Easter strolls through landscapes “freed from ice” belongs to an age long lost, a forgotten eon. 

Because the Europeans are already feeling what 150 years of carbon combustion actually means. 

The continent is heating at twice the speed of the global average. Europe is boiling.

 

"Europe experienced its warmest year on record in 2024, with half the continent setting new temperature highs."
Copernicus Climate Change Service


The Slow Burn of Inaction


And yet—climate policy is on the back foot. Despite the alarming rise in temperatures, the shift doesn’t come overnight. 

It unfolds over decades, creeping along quietly. And that makes it easy to fall into the most dangerous illusion of all: 

that we have time.

The metaphor of the frog in a slowly heating pot comes to mind—the one that boils to death because it doesn’t realize what’s happening. But even that metaphor fails. Why? 

Because it’s based on a lie. 

Real frogs jump out when the water gets too hot.

Do we?

Europe, to its credit, has made moves. It's leading in the reduction of greenhouse gases. In some ways, the continent has already jumped from the pot. 

The Copernicus Climate Change Report confirms this: Europe is surging ahead in renewable energy deployment.

But that’s not the end of the story. Because jumping out is not enough if you land in another fire.


🔥 The Price of Complacency


The 2024 Climate Status Report from Copernicus and the World Meteorological Organization laid it bare: nowhere on Earth is warming faster than Europe.


Nearly half the continent shattered heat records. Vast swaths of European seas were overheated for weeks. The Mediterranean alone clocked a mind-breaking +1.2°C above long-term averages.

And with that came chaos:

  • Oceans, overheated, forced weather extremes across the continent

  • Evaporation skyrocketed

  • Floods swallowed regions

  • One-third of Europe’s rivers were affected

  • At least 335 people drowned


Western Europe was drenched. Eastern Europe scorched. These are not anomalies. These are the new rules.


⚖️ Climate Policy Is Life Policy


Let’s be clear: climate protection is a matter of life or death. It's not about saving polar bears or planting feel-good forests. It’s about saving us:

  • Our infrastructure

  • Our water systems

  • Our economies

  • Our mental health

  • Our democracies

If we don’t lead globally, who will? 

If Europe—hit hardest and earliest—abandons climate action now, what message does that send to the rest of the world?

Climate diplomacy is not charity. 

It is self-interest

Europe must build global alliances not because it’s nice, but because it’s necessary

It must prove, beyond any doubt, that the leap out of the pot was worth it.


⚠️ Adapt or Die


This isn’t about fear. 

This is about fact. 

We’ve run out of time for polite compromises and bipartisan baby steps. 

There is no third way between extinction and evolution.

The water is already hot.
The fires are already burning.
The storms are already breaking our defenses.

So no—we can’t "pause."
We can’t "reset."
We can’t "wait and see."

This is the part of the story where we adapt or die.

And unlike the myth of the frog, we still have a choice

But not for long.



🔗 Sources & Further Reading:

Saturday, April 19, 2025

Dear Daily Disaster Diary, April 20 2025

 

Where everything is bad it must be good to know the worst.

- Francis H. Bradley





🌍 Apocalypse Revisited: Humanity’s Stunning Progress and the Specter of Collapse

How far we’ve come – and how fast we’re sliding back


“Things can be both bad and better.” – Hans Rosling
“The world is going to hell – but at a higher standard of living.” – Anonymous cynic
“The facts say otherwise.” – The author who dared to revisit Apocalypse Deferred



Thirty years ago, amid a crescendo of global pessimism, a young journalist dared to swim upstream. While Robert D. Kaplan’s infamous 1994 Atlantic piece The Coming Anarchy painted a bleak picture of humanity spiraling into chaos, this journalist’s reply—Apocalypse Deferred—dared to proclaim something radical: things were getting better.

And he was right.

📈 The Greatest Story Never Told: Progress

Since 1994, the numbers speak for themselves:

  • 🌍 Life Expectancy rose from 64 to 73 globally. In Africa, it jumped from 50 to 64.

  • 💉 Child Mortality rates dropped to historic lows—cut by more than half.

  • 🥣 Undernourishment fell from 18.6% of the world to 8.9%.

  • 📚 Education expanded universally—girls included.

  • 📱 Technology and economic access exploded. Most of the world now has access to smartphones, mobile banking, and internet-driven economies.

  • ⚕️ Global health triumphs: Polio nearly gone. Smallpox eradicated. Diarrheal deaths slashed. Measles vaccine saved 94 million lives.

These are not the headlines you see on cable news. But they are the facts.

So why, in 2025, does it feel like the world is ending?



😡 A World on Fire (Again)

Because in many ways—it is. For all the progress, the chaos Kaplan warned about is here, just in another form:

  • 💣 Russia’s war of aggression in Ukraine drags into a fourth year with unspeakable atrocities.

  • ☢️ Nuclear tensions are back—worse than in the Cold War.

  • 🌡️ Climate change has arrived. 2023 was the hottest year on record.

  • 🗳️ Democracy is retreating—Freedom House has documented 19 years of global backsliding.

  • 🇺🇸 The United States, once democracy’s lighthouse, is now flirting with authoritarian collapse.

  • 💰 Trade wars, nationalism, and populism threaten the economic cooperation that lifted billions.

We are progressing and regressing simultaneously—a paradox of our time. Civilization has never been more advanced, and yet the veneer of stability has never been so thin.



🔍 The Great Regression: Why Are We Sliding?

It’s not just geopolitics. It’s something deeper.

  1. Short-term thinking dominates our politics. We invest in military might, but not public health.

  2. Fear sells. A media and social media economy built on rage, tribalism, and catastrophe draws our attention away from long-term progress.

  3. Power is centralizing—into fewer hands, fewer tech companies, fewer political strongmen.

  4. Climate panic is becoming reality. We've crossed thresholds. Fires, floods, famines are no longer predictions—they’re current events.


🚨 The Real Risk: Losing Hope


Here’s the kicker: pessimism is now a threat to civilization.

When people believe everything is doomed, they disengage. They stop voting. They stop trusting. They stop dreaming. And that becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Robert Kaplan wasn’t wrong to be wary in 1994. But he was wrong to assume doom was inevitable. The data proves that we’ve made miraculous gains—because people believed in something better.

Now, 30 years later, we risk losing that belief.


🧠 The Path Forward: Radical Realism


Let’s be clear: optimism isn’t naiveté. It’s strategy.

We don’t need fairy tales. We need clear eyes and fierce resolve.

Yes, democracy is in peril—but it's not dead

Protesters from Turkey to Gaza are risking everything for dignity.

Yes, war is back—but so are peace movements, ceasefires, and international resistance to tyranny.

Yes, the climate is breaking—but the green revolution has begun:

🇨🇳 China is outbuilding the world in solar and wind.

🇨🇦 Canada runs largely on nuclear and hydro.

🇩🇪 Germany is decarbonizing faster than ever before.

🚗 EVs are no longer luxury—they’re inevitability.


Recognize the Marvels. Fight the Tragedies.


We must stop worshipping the “lugubrious conventional wisdom” that says collapse is the only future. It’s not. 

We’ve dodged apocalypse before—through science, cooperation, and vision.

What we need now is unfiltered courage.

🧠 To recognize progress.
💥 To expose corruption.
🌱 To protect the planet.
🛡️ To defend democracy.
💡 To tell the truth—even when it’s not trending.


⚰️ Waste Land or Wonder World?


Kaplan’s latest book is called Waste Land: A World in Permanent Crisis. And sure, the crises are real. But the permanence? That’s up to us.

This isn’t Weimar. Not yet.

This is 2025. The most advanced, most dangerous, most decisive moment in human history.

We’ve come too far to let the world go to hell. Not without a fight.


📌 Further Reading:


📣 Join the conversation. Share this. Debate this. Demand better.
Because the world isn’t doomed. 

It’s just unfinished.


Sincerely, 

Adaptation-Guide

ADAPT OR DIE!

LESS IS MORE!

WE ARE READY! ARE YOU?


Credits: GLOBE & MAIL

Dear Daily Disaster Diary, April 25 2025

  Reform must come from within, not from without. You cannot legislate for virtue. - James Cardinal Gibbons Removal of Green Party from lead...