Friday, August 30, 2024

Famous Last Words, August 2024

 Man makes a great fuss about this planet which is only a ball-bearing in the hub of the universe.

- Christopher Morley





BERNIE: THE PODCAST EPISODE 9 - BILL MCKIBBEN


The Earth Has Already Used Up Its Resources for 2024: What Does This Mean?

According to the Global Footprint Network, Earth reached its ecological limits for 2024 on August 1st. This date marks what is known as Earth Overshoot Day, the day when humanity has consumed all the natural resources that the planet can renew in a year. 

From now on, we are essentially living on credit. The planet’s ecosystems can no longer keep up with the consumption that occurred in the first seven months of the year. This means that humanity is living as if it had 1.7 Earths at its disposal. Disturbingly, this day is a day earlier than last year’s.

The Global Footprint Network calculates Earth Overshoot Day every year. According to their analysis, it takes a full year for nature to regenerate the resources that humanity consumes from January 1st to August 1st. The calculation compares two key figures: the available productive land and the land needed to sustain current consumption levels, which includes the area required to absorb carbon dioxide emissions through new forests. 

This complex calculation method has faced criticism, with some questioning its accuracy and transparency.

For instance, the Cologne Institute for Economic Research noted in 2021 that combining renewable resources and emissions in the calculation is problematic, as they are not easily comparable. 

The issue of global warming is not primarily about land overuse; it’s mainly about the overproduction of carbon dioxide. This makes the required land area in the calculation appear larger than it might actually be, which should be clarified, according to the institute.

Even environmental organizations like the WWF have criticized the focus on land use. The Earth Overshoot Day for Germany alone fell on May 2nd this year—two days earlier than last year. 

If everyone on the planet lived and consumed like the average German, the world would have exhausted its annual budget for sustainable resources and environmentally friendly emissions by that date. In this case, humanity would need three Earths to sustain itself. 

But it's not just Germany that's struggling; many other countries are too. For example, Qatar and Luxembourg reached their Earth Overshoot Day in February, while Canada, the United States, and Belgium hit theirs in March.

If everyone lived like the average person in China, we would need 2.4 Earths. For the United States, it would be a staggering 5.1 Earths. On the other hand, countries like Jamaica (November 12th), Iraq (November 15th), and Ecuador (November 24th) manage to stretch their resources further.

Historically, humanity's resource consumption was more sustainable. In 1961, we were only using 0.73 Earths, meaning there were still reserves. 

However, since the first official Earth Overshoot Day on December 29th, 1970, the date has steadily moved earlier each year. In the last decade, it has settled around similar dates, except for one anomaly: the COVID-19 pandemic year of 2020. 

Compared to 2019, when Earth Overshoot Day fell on July 29th, it moved to August 22nd in 2020. This shift was due to reduced wood consumption and lower carbon emissions during the lockdowns. However, this effect was short-lived, and by 2021, Earth Overshoot Day returned to July 29th.

According to the WWF, Earth Overshoot Day could be pushed back by seven days if half of the global meat consumption were replaced with plant-based alternatives. 

A staggering 13 days could be gained if we reduced food waste by 50%. These simple changes could buy the Earth some much-needed time, yet the clock continues to tick earlier each year.

The question remains: Will we heed the warning signs or continue down this unsustainable path?

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