A politician thinks of the next election; a statesman, of the next generation.
- J.F. Clarke
The European Union at a Crossroads: A Critical Moment in a Multipolar World
The European Union (EU) is facing immense challenges. We are witnessing the emergence of a multipolar world order, a process that seems chaotic, often violent, and accompanied by a surge in military conflicts.
Isolationism, nationalism, and protectionism are on the rise in many parts of the globe. This environment stands in stark contrast to the era in which the EU grew into an economic powerhouse—while remaining, politically and militarily, a dwarf.
In Europe, extreme forces from both the left and the right are gaining traction, reflecting a deep crisis of trust.
Many voters question the socio-economic, political, and cultural models that have underpinned European societies.
This distrust manifests itself in the escalating migration debate and the intensifying culture wars, which are being fought with increasing intransigence.
As a result, some societies have become receptive to authoritarian governance.
In Hungary, Slovakia, and Serbia, illiberal democracies have taken root, sacrificing the separation of powers and media freedom to the overwhelming dominance of the executive.
This crisis of confidence has also left European societies vulnerable to Russian disinformation, as well as Chinese and Islamist propaganda.
However, a pressing question remains: how can 27 member states find common ground and, where necessary, make concessions in their foreign policy sovereignty?
The chances of the EU making significant geopolitical strides under the current Commission are slim. It lacks both a cohesive leadership structure and the political legitimacy needed to drive such a transformation.
The Commission is a paper giant, entirely dependent on the approval of member states for major decisions—often requiring unanimity.
It is time to rethink the structure of the EU. Perhaps it should be smaller (like in the good ol days), or all citizens across Europe should be given a direct voice.
If a member state becomes "too autocratic," its participation should be subject to popular vote.
New rules are needed, and Belgium offers a potential model. It starts with mandatory voting.
A referendum on key issues such as migration, climate policy, the future of combustion engines, and military spending must be realized.
We need multiple layers of checks and balances, along with greater transparency, to curb corruption (farewell, Mrs. von der Leyen). Bureaucratic processes should be simplified within 12 months.
Furthermore, climate scientists, historians, agricultural experts, and rotating independent citizens must have a seat at the table.
As for the goal of achieving carbon neutrality by 2050, such long-term targets should be off the table unless all decision-makers are under 20 years old—so they can be held accountable for their choices in 26 years.
The EU's future depends on a fundamental shift in how it operates, how it engages with its citizens, and how it confronts its internal and external challenges.
Without radical change, its place in the new world order will be uncertain at best.
Sincerely,
Adapt or die!
